Odds, Watch, Predictions
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Mets' Alonso Set to Dominate Red Sox: A Deep Dive into Betting Odds and Trends

As the Mets prepare to host the Boston Red Sox at Citi Field, all eyes are on Pete Alonso, whose performance is anticipated to be a game-changer in this high-stakes matchup. The betting landscape has seen significant shifts, with the Mets currently favored at odds of -131, a notable change from their opening odds of -126. This adjustment reflects confidence in the Mets' ability to secure a victory against the Red Sox, who are now positioned at +111, down from their initial +108.


Jul 23, 2023; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; New York Mets starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco (59) throws a pitch against the Boston Red Sox in the first inning at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

The moneyline consensus among fans leans heavily towards the Red Sox with an 89 percent betting percentage, contrasting sharply with just 11 percent for the Mets. However, when it comes to the run line betting trends, there's a dramatic shift in favorability towards the Mets, who command a 70 percent bet percentage compared to 30 percent for the Red Sox. This divergence in betting sentiment underscores the complexity of predicting this matchup's outcome.


Delving deeper into the odds offered by various bookmakers reveals that DraftKings and FanDuel list similar odds for both teams, indicating a tight contest ahead. Bet365NewJersey and WilliamHillNewJersey also mirror these sentiments with closely matched odds that have seen slight adjustments leading up to game day.


Jul 23, 2023; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Red Sox shortstop Yu Chang (20) hit by a pitch against the New York Mets in the eighth inning at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

In terms of total runs expected, all major books have set the line at 8 runs, with DraftKings and FanDuel slightly favoring the over at -112 and -114 respectively. This consensus suggests that both teams' offenses are expected to be active, contributing to what promises to be an engaging contest for fans and bettors alike.


The run line market offers an intriguing perspective on how bookmakers view the game's dynamics. The Mets are favored to cover a -1.5 run spread by several outlets, with odds ranging from +155 to +160. Conversely, those backing the Red Sox receive odds between -185 and -192 for them to stay within this margin or win outright.


Jul 23, 2023; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Red Sox relief pitcher Chris Murphy (72) throws a pitch against th eNew York Mets in the third inning at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

This detailed analysis of betting trends highlights not only Alonso's pivotal role but also showcases how closely matched these two teams are as they head into their upcoming clash. Fans eagerly anticipating this showdown can catch all the action live on NESN from Citi Field in Flushing, Queens on September 3rd at 7:10 PM local time (EDT).

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