Odds, Watch, Predictions
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Timberwolves vs Mavericks: Betting Odds Favor Minnesota in Western Conference Finals

As the Western Conference Finals heat up, the Minnesota Timberwolves are set to host the Dallas Mavericks in a pivotal Game 5 at the Target Center. The betting markets have shown a clear favoritism towards the Timberwolves, with significant movements in odds reflecting bettors' confidence in their performance.


MINNEAPOLIS, MN -  MAY 22: Anthony Edwards #5 of the Minnesota Timberwolves handles the ball during the game  against the Dallas Mavericks during Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals of the 2024 NBA Playoffs on January 1, 2024 at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2024 NBAE (Photo by Jordan Johnson/NBAE via Getty Images)

The latest odds from major sportsbooks reveal that the Timberwolves are favored to win, with moneyline odds ranging from -175 to -200 across various platforms. This shift towards more favorable odds for Minnesota suggests a strong belief in their ability to secure a victory at home. Conversely, the Mavericks are positioned as underdogs, with their odds to win improving slightly but still trailing behind at +145 to +165.


In terms of betting trends, there's been a notable increase in confidence among those backing the Timberwolves on the moneyline, with 72 percent of bets placed on them to win outright. This contrasts sharply with just 28 percent of bets favoring the Mavericks. The spread market also indicates a preference for Dallas to cover, as 72 percent of bets have been placed on them against the spread, which is set at -4.5 points for Minnesota across most books.


MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA - MAY 22: Rudy Gobert #27 of the Minnesota Timberwolves shoots a free throw during the second quarter against the Dallas Mavericks in Game One of the Western Conference Finals at Target Center on May 22, 2024 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by David Berding/Getty Images)

The total points market has seen an overwhelming consensus for an over outcome, with 94 percent of bets predicting that the combined score will exceed 209.5 points. This expectation for a high-scoring game aligns with both teams' offensive capabilities and recent performances.


Sportsbooks have adjusted their lines accordingly in response to these betting patterns. For instance, DraftKings and MGM have moved their odds slightly to offer better returns on Timberwolves victories and Mavericks covers, indicating a balancing act by bookmakers to manage risk and attract balanced action on both sides.


MINNEAPOLIS, MN - MAY 22: Jaden Hardy #1 of the Dallas Mavericks shoots the ball during the game against the Minnesota Timberwolves during Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals of the 2024 NBA Playoffs on May 22, 2024 at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2024 NBAE (Photo by Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images)

As fans and bettors alike prepare for this crucial matchup, all eyes will be on key players and team strategies that could tip the scales. The Timberwolves' home-court advantage at Target Center is expected to play a significant role in their pursuit of victory.


For those looking to catch every moment of this high-stakes game, it is scheduled for May 30th at 7:30 PM local time in Minneapolis. Fans can tune into TNT or truTV for live coverage and witness whether the Timberwolves can leverage their favored status into a win or if the Mavericks will defy expectations and pull off an upset away from home.

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