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Thunder's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Leads OKC Against Mavericks in Semifinals

As the Western Conference Semifinals heat up, the Oklahoma City Thunder are set to face off against the Dallas Mavericks in a pivotal Game 5 matchup. With the series tied, both teams are looking to gain an upper hand, and betting trends suggest a tight contest ahead.


OKLAHOMA CITY, OK - APRIL 14: Markieff Morris #88 of the Dallas Mavericks grabs a rebound during the game against the Oklahoma City Thunder on April 14, 2024 at Paycom Arena in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2024 NBAE (Photo by Zach Beeker/NBAE via Getty Images)

The Thunder, playing at home, have seen their odds improve slightly since opening lines were released. Initially listed at -210 on the moneyline by MGM, their odds have adjusted to -189, indicating increased confidence from bettors in their ability to secure a win. This shift is mirrored across various sportsbooks, with DraftKings and FanDuel listing similar movements towards favoring Oklahoma City.


Despite this shift, the Dallas Mavericks are not without their supporters. Opening as underdogs at +170 on the moneyline, their odds have tightened to +155 at MGM, reflecting a belief among some bettors that an upset could be on the cards. This sentiment is consistent across other platforms as well, with PointsBet offering odds of +165 for a Mavericks victory.


OKLAHOMA CITY, OK - APRIL 14: Cason Wallace #22 of the Oklahoma City Thunder  shoots the ball during the game against the Dallas Mavericks  on April 14, 2024 at Paycom Arena in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2024 NBAE (Photo by Zach Beeker/NBAE via Getty Images)

The spread market also tells a story of expected competitiveness. The Thunder started with a -5.5 point spread but adjustments have brought this down to -4.5 across most bookmakers. This suggests that while Oklahoma City is favored to win, it's anticipated to be by a narrow margin.


In terms of total points expected, there's been a slight decrease from an opening line of 214.5 points down to 213 points at several sportsbooks including Bet365NewJersey and WilliamHillNewJersey. This adjustment reflects bettor sentiment leaning towards a slightly less high-scoring affair than initially anticipated.


OKLAHOMA CITY, OK - APRIL 14:  Josh Giddey #3 of the Oklahoma City Thunder dribbles the ball during the game against the Dallas Mavericks on April 14, 2024 at Paycom Arena in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2024 NBAE (Photo by Zach Beeker/NBAE via Getty Images)

Betting percentages reveal interesting insights into public sentiment: 75 percent of moneyline wagers favor the Thunder at home, showcasing strong local support. However, on the spread, 62 percent favor the Mavericks covering +4.5 points, indicating expectations of a closely contested game.


Over/Under markets show a significant lean towards the Over with 86 percent of bets expecting more than 213 points scored in total during this game – suggesting fans and bettors alike are anticipating an exciting offensive display from both teams.


As we approach tip-off for this crucial game in the Western Conference Semifinals series between Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks, all eyes will be on key players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for OKC who has consistently led his team with stellar performances throughout this season.


Fans eager to catch every moment of this high-stakes clash can tune into TNT or truTV on May 15th at 8:30 PM local time (20:30) at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City for what promises to be an electrifying showdown in pursuit of conference finals glory.

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